High-throughput virtual screening reduces a library of tens of thousands to hundreds of millions of compounds down to a shortlist small enough to buy and test. We run it as a funnel rather than a single docking job: property and ADMET pre-filters remove compounds that would fail later anyway, fast docking removes the bulk, and progressively more expensive scoring is applied only to survivors. The compounds that reach your shortlist have been examined individually for binding mode plausibility, not merely sorted by score.
Computational predictions prioritise hypotheses; they do not independently establish binding, biological activity, therapeutic efficacy, safety or clinical validity. Performance depends on input quality, target class, the structural evidence available and the applicability domain of the selected methods. Scores used for ranking are comparative devices and should not be read as measured quantities. All deliverables are for research use only and are not intended for diagnostic or therapeutic use.
These are the failure modes that produce confident-looking results which do not survive the next experiment. Each one is designed against rather than discovered afterwards.
Illustrative of the shape this work takes. Details are generalised, no client or target is identified, and scope and outcome vary with the system in question.
The results below were published by independent groups and are cited to show what these computational approaches have achieved in the literature. They are not ICDMO project results, and outcomes vary substantially between targets, datasets and programmes. We do not promise comparable results for any particular project.
In a landmark 2019 study, ~138 million make-on-demand compounds were docked against the dopamine D4 receptor. Of 549 compounds selected and tested, 122 were confirmed active — a 22% hit rate — including ligands in the sub-nanomolar range. The same work screened ~99 million compounds against AmpC β-lactamase, where 5 of 44 tested compounds were confirmed (11%), one of which was among the most potent non-covalent AmpC inhibitors reported at the time.
Lyu et al., Nature, 2019 ↗The same body of work showed that the probability of a compound being confirmed active increases as its docking rank improves, and that larger libraries push better-scoring molecules into the selected set. This is the practical argument for screening make-on-demand space rather than a physical catalogue — and also the reason scoring accuracy, not library size alone, remains the limiting factor.
Lyu et al., Nature, 2019 ↗Note: ICDMO delivers computational (in silico) services. Results prioritise hypotheses for testing; they do not by themselves establish binding, biological activity, efficacy or safety. All deliverables are for research use only and are not intended for diagnostic or therapeutic use. Downstream experimental work is scoped separately and executed through qualified partners.
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