A compound that cannot reach its target is not a drug, whatever its affinity. We predict the absorption and permeability profile — passive permeability, efflux liability, intestinal absorption, oral bioavailability and blood–brain barrier penetration — and, where a compound fails, identify whether the cause is size, polarity, ionisation, hydrogen-bonding or transporter recognition. For CNS programmes we add the multiparameter optimisation scoring that governs brain-penetrant design.
Computational predictions prioritise hypotheses; they do not independently establish binding, biological activity, therapeutic efficacy, safety or clinical validity. Performance depends on input quality, target class, the structural evidence available and the applicability domain of the selected methods. Scores used for ranking are comparative devices and should not be read as measured quantities. All deliverables are for research use only and are not intended for diagnostic or therapeutic use.
These are the failure modes that produce confident-looking results which do not survive the next experiment. Each one is designed against rather than discovered afterwards.
Illustrative of the shape this work takes. Details are generalised, no client or target is identified, and scope and outcome vary with the system in question.
The results below were published by independent groups and are cited to show what these computational approaches have achieved in the literature. They are not ICDMO project results, and outcomes vary substantially between targets, datasets and programmes. We do not promise comparable results for any particular project.
Across the published literature, lipophilicity and surface-property predictions are generally reliable, while aqueous solubility models typically carry errors around one log unit and absolute human pharmacokinetic prediction remains weak. We therefore report predictions with their expected error and applicability-domain status, and recommend measurement at the point where a decision turns on the number rather than the rank order.
Method comparison literature, ongoing ↗Note: ICDMO delivers computational (in silico) services. Results prioritise hypotheses for testing; they do not by themselves establish binding, biological activity, efficacy or safety. All deliverables are for research use only and are not intended for diagnostic or therapeutic use. Downstream experimental work is scoped separately and executed through qualified partners.
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